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2026 Bold Predictions


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1 hour ago, T R U said:

I supposed you would come around because ultimately that would be a good thing, BUT you will complain that he made the team initially and cite how awful he was last season before coming around. This is my bold prediction don't s%*# on it. 

Yes, I will probably s%*# on the org if they put him on the OD roster unnecessarily, but I definitely hope he works out if/when he makes the team.  Honestly, I think a good bold prediction would be that Kelenic is called up May 1st after killing it in Charlotte for a few weeks and his roster spot is opened up by DFA’ing Benintendi.

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11 minutes ago, Chicago White Sox said:

Yes, I will probably s%*# on the org if they put him on the OD roster unnecessarily, but I definitely hope he works out if/when he makes the team.  Honestly, I think a good bold prediction would be that Kelenic is called up May 1st after killing it in Charlotte for a few weeks and his roster spot is opened up by DFA’ing Benintendi.

I am sure he has an opt out, which he will 100% use if he isn't on the roster.

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1 hour ago, WestEddy said:

1)  Acuña winds up north of 3+ WAR
2) Davis Martin becomes steadiest, highest WAR pitcher on staff
3) Colson/Murakami good for 75 dingers
4) Ant-man up, Meidroth down by Memorial Day
5) 82 wins
6) Dominguez, Hays, Kay, Newcomb all traded at deadline
7) Sox realize savings by drafting Emerson; Contreras and Thome fall to them in 2nd and 3rd

Is that 75 each?

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Have a weird feeling that Colson is going to have just a disaster of a season, eventually being sent down to AAA. 

On the flip side, think Murakami will provide excitement and have a positive year, but stretches of terrible AB's. 

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Here are my 20 bold predictions:

  • Sox improve by 19 games yet again with and flirt with a playoff spot
  • The positional group finishes the season well above league average in fWAR
  • The pitching staff is still below league average but well above expectations
  • Will Venable wins Manager of the Year in a landslide victory
  • McDougal is up by May 1st and puts up a 2+ win season
  • Hagen Smith is up by Jun 1st and puts up a 1.5+ win season
  • Thorpe is back by Jul 1st and puts up 1+ wins across the 2H
  • Kay, Fedde, & Martin all traded, DFA’d or moved to bullpen by Jul 1st
  • Burke reclaims his 2024 form and leads the pitching staff in fWAR at 3.5
  • Berroa back by Jun 1st and immediately becomes a dominant bullpen piece
  • Antonacci is up by May 1st and puts up a 2+ win season
  • Teel leads the positional group with an fWAR of ~4
  • Murakami strikes out like crazy but hits 35 HRs and wins AL ROY
  • Meidroth achieves his Steamer projections of 2.6 fWAR and a 108 wRC+
  • Acuna demonstrates elite CF defense and surprises with the bat (~90 wRC+)
  • Baldwin secures an everyday role by producing a 115 wRC+ for the season
  • Colson struggles immensely to start the year before a solid 2H rebound
  • Periera goes from platoon bat to everyday OF after mid season Hayes injury 
  • Benintendi & Sosa are both traded or DFA’d before the end of the season
  • Kelenic fails to make the OD roster, flounders in AAA, & retires from baseball

TLDR - The Sox are going to surprise and have a very nice fucking season!

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13 minutes ago, Tony said:

Have a weird feeling that Colson is going to have just a disaster of a season, eventually being sent down to AAA. 

On the flip side, think Murakami will provide excitement and have a positive year, but stretches of terrible AB's. 

This one I just don't see at all. His defense is good enough to carry his bat even at like 220/280/380. And he's not going to slash that all year long. I think something like 240/300/440 is much more likely, a regression but still a solid regular.

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29 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:

I am sure he has an opt out, which he will 100% use if he isn't on the roster.

If he does (which is possible), then he’s going to make the OD roster (and should), but I haven’t seen that reported anywhere so assuming he doesn’t have such a clause for the time being.

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16 minutes ago, Chicago White Sox said:

If he does (which is possible), then he’s going to make the OD roster (and should), but I haven’t seen that reported anywhere so assuming he doesn’t have such a clause for the time being.

Pretty sure he gets the right after he has been outrighted by a team.

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1 hour ago, Lip Man 1 said:

Jerry Reinsdorf decides he's had enough and turns the franchise over to Justin ishbia.

All remaining White Sox fans have a day of unfettered joy and celebration. 

We can only hope........though at this point, it may as well wait until the end of the upcoming labor impasse.  

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55 minutes ago, WhiteSox2023 said:

You must watch too much Clavicular brain rot on social media like my son.  That’s the only reason I even understand wtf you just posted.  🤣

What the hell does that even mean???

Otoh "don't want no small dick man" from 1994 is super popular here in China on my son's PUBG streams.

Surely no rights fee going back to the US.

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6 minutes ago, Look at Ray Ray Run said:

Today was a good sign for Grant. Multi-inning relief appearances + spot starts and he's well on his way to making me look like a genius.

What s the record fWAR for a multi innings guy who doesn't close usually and rarely starts???

Thinking Zumaya with Tigers or Andrew Miller LHP at some point were in 2s or 3s.

 

Mason Miller 2.3 and 2.0...but he's a closer, obviously.

Edited by caulfield12
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7 minutes ago, caulfield12 said:

What s the record fWAR for a multi innings guy who doesn't close usually and rarely starts???

Thinking Zumaya with Tigers or Andrew Miller LHP at some point were in 2s or 3s.

 

Mason Miller 2.3 and 2.0...but he's a closer, obviously.

Grant Taylor was worth 1.7 fWAR last year in 36 innings. He's over 3.5 at 80 innings. 

He was already 2nd on the team last year in that few innings. 

Edited by Look at Ray Ray Run
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3 minutes ago, caulfield12 said:

One would be curious to see how that translated into trade value...

Fans get caught up in outcomes for relievers. Taylor had some abysmal luck last year. I think he could have netted a boat load last deadline. Teams pay based on expected numbers, not actuals. Look at Cease!

He was somehow the 13th most valuable reliever in baseball last year despite having half as many innings as everyone above him. 

He's a freak. Doubt he's going to have a .422 BABIP against again! 

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14 minutes ago, Look at Ray Ray Run said:

Fans get caught up in outcomes for relievers. Taylor had some abysmal luck last year. I think he could have netted a boat load last deadline. Teams pay based on expected numbers, not actuals. Look at Cease!

He was somehow the 13th most valuable reliever in baseball last year despite having half as many innings as everyone above him. 

He's a freak. Doubt he's going to have a .422 BABIP against again! 

Edwin Diaz has maxed out at 3.5 and 3.0 as a closer but all other seasons below that level...for example.

 

So your argument is Moneyball 3.0 is undervalued middle or high leverage relievers?

If you could control for year to year unpredictability...

Edited by caulfield12
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5 hours ago, SoxAce said:

Everson Pereira becomes Carlos Quentin 2.0 and has a 2008 type amazing season (close to 5 WAR, AS, SS, MVP votes). 

As long as he doesn’t prematurely end his season by breaking his wrist after slapping his bat head.

Edited by WhiteSox2023
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