Someone will take him because they won’t be as emotional as Sox fans and overreact to his two month stint with us. On a full season basis, he was 6th in fWAR at 2.2, 7th in FIP at 2.43 (w/ at least 30 IP), 3rd in K/9 at 15.08, and had a 98th percentile xwOBA. This was over 59.2 innings, which is roughly a full season for him.
Meanwhile the other “year and a half” everyone loves to cite as being horrible was a total of 36 innings (~60% of one normal length season for him). And the best part is Kimbrel wasn’t even bad in 2020. Coming off a COVID impacted spring training, he had two bad appearances to start the season (33.94 FIP in 1.3 innings). Over the rest of the season, which was a total of 14 innings, he posted a 1.12 FIP with a 18.0 K/9. He literally was just as dominant over the final 91% of the 2020 season as he was with the Cubs to start 2021.
I know, I know, Two Gun Pete will call me a “slicer & dicer” for daring to use any sort of critical thinking when assessing Kimbrel’s stats over the past two years. And he definitely won’t like me using context and pointing out that changing roles, experiencing a 44 inning YoY inning increase, and/or dealing with a sick daughter may have had something to do with his sudden falloff after joining the Sox.
Regardless, some of the brightest minds in baseball were highly interested in him at the trade deadline and I have zero doubt a few of those same minds see a potential buy low opportunity here. I doubt we get much in return, but major league front offices almost certainly value Craig Kimbrel much higher than the majority of posters on Soxtalk do and we will be able to move him.