Let’s say each of our five outfield prospects (Micker, Gonzalez, Basabe, Walker, Rutherford) has only a 15% chance to be a solid regular. That means there is a 56% chance that at least one of of them will be a solid regular.
If you think each one has a 20% chance of panning out, that means there’s a 74% chance at least one makes it.
Point being, I think it’s likely that at least one of them could be our long term solution.
I would go after a one year stop gap option and then reevaluate the prospects. We’ll have a better idea next offseason, and if it seems like all five will flop, then we can sign somebody next year.