So good topic for the ASB for those that are okay reading a long ass post but I don't care because it took time so instead of giving you the info upfront, I'll force you to read my journey like a food blog (jk, i'll give you info up front then you'll have to stay out of guilt)
Obviously, the white sox have gone through a lot of injuries this year, and it has led to a number of rookies coming up that have performed well. Nick Hostetler was the Scouting Director for the 2016-2019 drafts and responsible for most all of these guys that have come up.
As someone that didn't care for Hostetler, the whole last year has caused me to re-evaluate, but the question of "did he do a good job" is always hard with drafting because:
1) we are only 5 years away from his first draft, and 2 from his last draft
2) compared to what?
There is so much stuff to follow within the white sox itself that it's hard to follow how they compare to other orgs, and we are usually comparing them to their past selves. So I looked at 2 orgs I felt draft well, and then the rest of the ALC to try and get the first draft of the answer of "did Hostetler draft well".
So here is what I didn't like about Hostetler:
- Too college heavy, and often unathletic or "maxxed out" college players
- Did not like use of 2nd round picks on college players like Steele Walker (still right) and Gavin Sheets (woops)
- Too many bullpen pitchers and pitchability over stuff arms
I thought the guys had higher floors but ceilings so low they get washed out in A+ or Bham. But then a funny thing happened and a lot of these guys kept coming.
So I looked at # of players that made the majors, games played in majors, and WAR. There is a good chance I undercounted other teams as this was incredibly manual. If someone knows a better way to find this stuff let me know.
I went into this kinda expecting a triumphant answer of damn Hostetler was way better than I thought. But it ended up being a weird middle. I guess I thought I'd walk away being like "wow my judgments of him were way off", but instead what I admired was this:
Hostetler in an interview said the sox knew they needed depth in their minors so he set out to create it. Those were his words, but my interpretation of that was "don't swing for the fences, we need baseball players because the home run hitters are coming via trade". Now, I still take issue with the fact that for most of his time, he said "BPA is what you always have to do" which is weird in baseball and also apparently not what he believed.
However, the guy had a plan, and he executed it...that's my takeaway.
But I'm still not sure it was the best plan, even as we benefit from it. And my main issue is still 2016.
Now 2016 for the sox actually saw a good amount of Major Leaguers:
Players - Collins, Burdi, Lambert, Flores, Foster, Hamilton
However, the combined WAR of that 2016 group was -0.9. The players from 2017-2019 provided 4 WAR. So 2016 is almost 50% of the players sent to the majors but like negative 20% or something of the WAR.
And that's the draft that kills me. While some of this is unfair comparison because all of the other teams on this list have comp picks. It's a huge deal. It's a huge leg up, trust me, I'm not discounting it. However, the players that were most impactful to date are hard to say were due to that.
2016 for the padres netted them Cal Quantrill, Eric Lauer and Lucchessi (2.1 WAR). None probably make you swoon, but they are valuable starting pitchers. 2 of which were selected ahead of the sox, but still, the sox were in similar position to try and add this kidn of talent.
The Indians this year? They added Civale in round 3 and Bieber in round 4. The sox drafted Alex Call (netted us Yonder Alonso) and Jameson Fisher (in AA). We had the most capital in 2016, yet walked away with least production, but Collins could be on the up and up.
But thennnnn 2017. 2017 is a trash draft. Pretty much nobody did well, though McKay for the Rays (selected 4th overall) may be the best overall WAR leader when its all said and done. There is little to care about after burger was picked except the Royals suddenly have a guy in Pratto who is crushing this year.
The sox now have Burger and Sheets in the bigs and potentially being solid long time offensive players. So they found good value then. In 2018 - Heuer and Madrigal were huge contributors. And vaughn on the way. But those were the top 5 pick guys. I still think there was a huge lack of finding a really solid non-bullpen late round pick that even teams like the tigers found (Skubal).
Basically he did a good job doing what he wanted to do, I'm not sure it was the best thing to do, but he was still better than most and not as good as the best.
Baseball!!!!